The 2026-09-01 snapshot lists a 15.9% historical asylum grant rate for Francisco Mendez at Arlington, VA, based on 603 grants and 3,201 denials (3,804 decided outcomes).
The 2026-09-01 EOIR snapshot lists Francisco Mendez with Arlington, VA. With an asylum approval rate of 15.9%, this judge is average compared to the national average. Data sourced from EOIR (Executive Office for Immigration Review). Historical listings do not by themselves establish a current assignment.
Community Discussion
DATAAsylumTracker Data
Judge Mendez (Arlington, VA) data snapshot: 3,907 cases over 8 years, 16.4% grant rate
A few numbers worth knowing if you have a hearing in front of Judge Mendez, Francisco (IJ code FMZ, Arlington, VA):
Overall track record
8 years on the bench (since 2019), 3,907 cases total, lifetime grant rate 16.4%
Last 3 years (2023–2026): 2,289 cases, grant rate 10.6% — roughly in line with the Arlington court average (10.9%)
Nationality breakdown (2023–2026 cumulative)
Nationality / Cases / Grant rate
Honduras 476 5.9%
Guatemala 367 2.9%
El Salvador 334 17.8%
Bolivia 300 3.3%
Mexico 131 2.4%
Peru 129 0.9%
Nicaragua 101 16.5%
Venezuela 80 13.6%
Colombia 62 0.0%
Turkey 38 44.4%
Afghanistan 27 69.2%
Year-by-year
2023: 507 cases, 13.9% grant rate
2024: 386 cases, 17.1% grant rate
2025: 740 cases, 8.5% grant rate
2026: 656 cases, 6.1% grant rate
If you've appeared before Judge Mendez, I'd love to hear:
1. What's your nationality, and when was your most recent hearing?
2. How did your attorney prepare for this judge specifically?
Source: EOIR (U.S. Executive Office for Immigration Review) public statistics, May 2026 release, compiled by AsylumTracker. A judge's historical pattern does not predict the outcome of any individual case; this is shared to help set realistic expectations. Real-experience accounts from the community are welcome.
Have experience with this judge? Open AsylumTracker to reply or read more responses from the community.
How to Interpret These Judge Statistics
Francisco Mendez is listed with the Arlington, VA Immigration Court. The headline asylum grant rate shown here is 15.9% based on granted and denied asylum decisions represented in the current dataset.
Among the largest nationality groups shown for this judge, the table highlights Honduras (761 decided, 6.6% grant rate), Guatemala (586 decided, 2.9% grant rate), and El Salvador (543 decided, 26.2% grant rate). Compare these rows with the judge's overall rate because nationality mix can materially change how the headline number should be read.
Grant rate is calculated as granted / (granted + denied). Other procedural outcomes, including terminated, withdrawn, administratively closed, or removed cases, are tracked separately where available and are not treated as asylum grants.
This page is based on public EOIR data last updated 2026-09-01. It is for research and information only, not legal advice.
What is Judge Francisco Mendez's asylum grant rate?
Judge Francisco Mendez granted asylum in 15.9% of 3,804 decided cases (grants plus denials), according to EOIR data.
Does Judge Francisco Mendez grant asylum more or less often than other judges?
The rate (15.9%) is close to the 16.6% national rate; the median judge at Arlington, VA grants 11.2%. It is a historical average, not a prediction for any one case.
How is this grant rate calculated?
Grants divided by grants plus denials. Terminations, withdrawals and administrative closures are not counted.