The 2026-09-01 snapshot lists a 16.0% historical asylum grant rate for Nelson A. Vargas-Padilla at Baltimore, MD, based on 878 grants and 4,623 denials (5,501 decided outcomes).
The 2026-09-01 EOIR snapshot lists Nelson A. Vargas-Padilla with Baltimore, MD. With an asylum approval rate of 16.0%, this judge is average compared to the national average. Data sourced from EOIR (Executive Office for Immigration Review). Historical listings do not by themselves establish a current assignment.
Community Discussion
DATAAsylumTracker Data
Judge Vargas-Padilla (Baltimore, MD) data snapshot: Overall rate fell from 23% to 5% in 3 years
A few numbers worth knowing if you have a hearing in front of Judge Vargas-Padilla, Nelson A. (IJ code NVP, Baltimore, MD):
Overall track record
12 years on the bench (since 2015), 6,112 cases total, lifetime grant rate 16.0%
Last 3 years (2023–2026): 3,968 cases, grant rate 10.1% — roughly in line with the Baltimore court average (12.3%)
Nationality breakdown (2023–2026 cumulative)
Nationality / Cases / Grant rate
Honduras 916 6.7%
Guatemala 620 5.9%
El Salvador 575 23.8%
Romania 309 0.0%
Nicaragua 242 8.6%
Mexico 193 6.6%
Ecuador 180 0.6%
Haiti 124 0.0%
Venezuela 118 18.3%
Peru 115 3.6%
Brazil 77 1.5%
Year-by-year
2023: 465 cases, 22.5% grant rate
2024: 740 cases, 18.9% grant rate
2025: 1589 cases, 6.6% grant rate
2026: 1174 cases, 4.8% grant rate
If you've appeared before Judge Vargas-Padilla, I'd love to hear:
1. What's your nationality, and when was your most recent hearing?
2. How did your attorney prepare for this judge specifically?
Source: EOIR (U.S. Executive Office for Immigration Review) public statistics, July 2026 release, compiled by AsylumTracker. A judge's historical pattern does not predict the outcome of any individual case; this is shared to help set realistic expectations. Real-experience accounts from the community are welcome.
Have experience with this judge? Open AsylumTracker to reply or read more responses from the community.
How to Interpret These Judge Statistics
Nelson A. Vargas-Padilla is listed with the Baltimore, MD Immigration Court. The headline asylum grant rate shown here is 16.0% based on granted and denied asylum decisions represented in the current dataset.
Among the largest nationality groups shown for this judge, the table highlights Honduras (1,089 decided, 11.5% grant rate), El Salvador (975 decided, 29.1% grant rate), and Guatemala (718 decided, 8.4% grant rate). Compare these rows with the judge's overall rate because nationality mix can materially change how the headline number should be read.
Grant rate is calculated as granted / (granted + denied). Other procedural outcomes, including terminated, withdrawn, administratively closed, or removed cases, are tracked separately where available and are not treated as asylum grants.
This page is based on public EOIR data last updated 2026-09-01. It is for research and information only, not legal advice.
What is Judge Nelson A. Vargas-Padilla's asylum grant rate?
Judge Nelson A. Vargas-Padilla granted asylum in 16.0% of 5,501 decided cases (grants plus denials), according to EOIR data.
Does Judge Nelson A. Vargas-Padilla grant asylum more or less often than other judges?
The rate (16.0%) is close to the 16.6% national rate; the median judge at Baltimore, MD grants 12.1%. It is a historical average, not a prediction for any one case.
How is this grant rate calculated?
Grants divided by grants plus denials. Terminations, withdrawals and administrative closures are not counted.
